Friday, April 17, 2009

Friday Readings cause worries

What should be a relaxed Friday evening is turning out as an exercise of 'glass half empty'. Todays' reading are sumamrised below.

The Financial Times talks about India's hype.
"A word about India hype. It highlights high-end services, and now manufacturing sectors, with their globalising, world-beating companies. But it overlooks reform deficits in agriculture, services and manufacturing. It talks of “Chindia”, the notion that India plays in the same league as China as an emerging superpower – which is pure myth."
Full article is here . It is a must read. The link opens in a new window. Go ahead, click it, read it, now.

The IMF says there are "worrisome parallels” with the Great Depression". There is much more pain ahead!
"… recessions associated with financial crises tend to be unusually severe and their recoveries typically slow. Similarly, globally synchronized recessions are often long and deep, and recoveries from these recessions are generally weak. "

Deflation has gone global, as "Japan wholesale prices log fastest drop since 2002 ". Mish's global economic analysis Here , adds "German wholesale prices see record decline in 22 years", "US CPI In First Year-Over-Year Decline Since 1955"
Finally, "The cause of the great depression is simple: There was a massive runup in credit, margin, leverage and speculation in the late 1920's. Does that sound familiar? It should."

Mr Advani, BJP leader demands the return of black money in swiss banks. Why did he not do this when he was Home Minister, asks Mr Kapil Sibal from the congress party. The answer lies in this article. You owe it to yourself, to your family to be well informed. This is your country.

2 comments:

solo said...

hello sir,
It seems the quality of my questions was not as good as it should have been...whatever might be the reason, if answered, it would have added lot to my knowledge.

Would you please explain what is that 15min. rule exactly?

1. What should be the price and volume action which we should look out for in this trade?

2. Can we predict some target for this trade?

3. Where should we keep our stoploss?

4. Shall we trail in this setup?

What are you expecting on monday?

Yes unpredictable,but will a closing below the low of yesterday very negative?

vijay singh said...

hello sir jii
first i dont know english to explain my desire so that i wiil write in hindi.


Aap hamesa kahte hai ki har man ki ek trading stretgi honi chahiye. mai is baat se bilkul sahmat hu. bina kisi stretgi ke trade karna aisa hai jasa andhe ka bater pakadne ka prayash karna.
meri trading stretgi moving avrage crossover ki hai. mai nifty ka 60min chart leta hu and uspar 50 and 25 SMA plot karta hu. jab crossover hota hai mai usi anusar trade karta hu. lekin kabhi kabhar lambe stoplose karna padta hai.
mai apni stretgi me kya add karu ki stoplose chota ho jay. jaise 25MA niche se 50MA ko cross kar raha hai tab mai 2790 se nifty me long hu lekin agar market turant gir jati to mughe lagbhag 150-200 point ka SL karna padta.
iske alawa profitbooking ka mere pass koi sutra nahi hai. agar mai 2790 se long hu to mai ab kya dekh kar profitbook karu ki mere hand se profit nikal na jay.

kindly reply me.


with thanks


vijay frm

varanasi

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